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STL to AK and Back Again

by AngelaHutti from St.Louis

Last Post 2 hours Ago


High pressure is in control of our weather for the next few days. That means drier, cooler easterly winds and lots of sunshine. Temperatures stay below average for the early half of the week, but things begin to change slightly by mid-week. The high that’s in control will drift just enough east that a more southerly wind will creep in. That will boost temps a few degrees by then end of the week. It will also allow a chance of rain to move in by Thursday. It’s a small chance, but it’s there.

I really want to focus on Tropical Storm Fay. This could be a big problem for Florida for a couple of reason. A nearly stationary front south of St. Louis has kept the storm track over the Gulf Coast and Southeast U.S. for almost the last week. So northern Florida has seen very active weather already. Now, here comes Fay. As I type this at noon on Sunday, the track of this storm moves it across Cuba, across the Florida Keys, and over the Florida peninsula…almost due north. Tropical Storms warnings and Hurricane watches are in effect for the Keys. Fay is moving to the WNW at about 13 mph and her winds are sustained at 50 mph. Forecasters are expecting some strengthening until it get over Cuba. Combine that stationary front with a slow moving tropical system and let’s just say this makes a bad week to be traveling to Florida.


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Member Comments Total Comments: 18
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DrCarter read my blog
Aug 17, 2008 | 11:51 PM

Hey Angela, one of my best friends lives in St. Thomas. Has this affected the virgin islands??? She told me they lose power for weeks because of storms, and I called her but I haven't heard anything from her lately. Thanks

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 18, 2008 | 1:12 AM

St Thomas looked like it was minimally affected. Some heavy rain, but probably no more than 40 mph winds. Now, after being there just ten days ago on a cruise and seeing the infrastructure, I would not bet that they didn't have some problems. It's not the most sturdy looking place I've seen. Particularly when you get away from the tourist areas.

AngelaHutti read my blog view my photos
Aug 18, 2008 | 1:21 PM

Dave's fall forecast has been posted!!

AngelaHutti read my blog view my photos
Aug 18, 2008 | 1:27 PM

Fay was just a tropical wave when it hit the Virgin Islands. Now that doesn't mean it didn't cause any damage, but it was likely minimal. Power could have been knocked out to the island briefly.
If you'd like to stay up to date on the Virign Islands, their newspaper has a nice website. Here's the link:

http://www.virginislandsdailynews.com/

jeepers4559 read my blog view my photos
Aug 19, 2008 | 11:31 AM

Angela, Dave is such a tease with that last part about winter! LOL

And all of the snow bunnies perk their heads up like a dog listening to the treat bag rattle. "Did someone mention...winter?" :D

DrCarter read my blog
Aug 19, 2008 | 1:23 PM

Hey Peagcu and Angela, good lookin out. I appreciate it.

guyatacomputer read my blog view my photos
Aug 19, 2008 | 11:41 PM

This cutoff low that is taking it's sweet time getting here and should be arriving Thursday is starting to look interesting for rainfall totals. QPF is showing close to two inches for by the weekend. And as slow as that thing has been that's could be just for starters.

And who knows about the remnants of Fay at this point. We could be in for a very wet week starting Thursday.

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 20, 2008 | 10:39 PM

Holy Moly. Now it seems that the remnants of fay may come our way.

snowman99 read my blog
Aug 21, 2008 | 2:21 PM

No one knows where in the hell Fay is going, not even her. She's is one seriously screwed up storm. I've never seen a storm love land as much as her. She has only been 40 miles from the coast the last day and a half, if it had been further she would have intensified much more. This storm has been a rather waste of time to keep an eye on except for the 25 inches of rain, lol.

guyatacomputer read my blog view my photos
Aug 21, 2008 | 6:44 PM

17" of rain in my O'fallon MO el cheapo rain gauge from 5 Pm Wed to 5 PM Thur. Impressive for kinda' a nothing sysytem.

guyatacomputer read my blog view my photos
Aug 21, 2008 | 6:45 PM

that 1 point 5

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 22, 2008 | 1:05 AM

If this lady goes back into the Gulf they could have a real problem in good old New Orleans. They think Katrina was bad, if they get one coming in from the ESE that comes in just south of the city that is THE worst thing that could happen to them.

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 22, 2008 | 1:07 AM

Looks like she is going to move to Mississippi and stall again.

frivolousz21 read my blog
Aug 22, 2008 | 4:50 PM

the Ice up north is about 600,000km more expansive than this time last year.


we need to hope the cold stays bottled up threw fall..so the ice can explode in growth and then release some massive cold air in december

guyatacomputer read my blog view my photos
Aug 22, 2008 | 10:54 PM

Looking at the NHS 5 day progs for Fay that cone of uncertainty is starting to look a little ominous for us. Even more so SE MO and southern IL. Definitely a watcher.

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 23, 2008 | 1:59 PM

Tallahassee is really under the gun today. they have probably surpassed 10 inches in rain and they are just getting into the most intense rain band. 20 inch totals are not out of the question for that area today.

If Fay holds her structure and continues moving slowly west that rain pattern will just keep shifting west. The onshore flow is just unreal and any tropical storm moving under 10 mph will dump at least ten inches of rain in many areas. I think Fay is moving at 8mph and using the old 100/8 you get over 12 inches of rain. There are plenty of places showing more than that amount on the Tallahassee radar right now.

This storm could still pose a serious threat to New Orleans in the form of flash flooding. If it keeps it's structure and gets far enough west of the city they will also see well over ten inches of rain in less than 24 hours. Those pumps they have can't handle that kind of deluge.

Peagcu read my blog
Aug 23, 2008 | 4:22 PM

* AT 212 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LARGE
BAND OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY
CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE FLORIDA BIG BEND. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL ESTIMATES SINCE FRIDAY MORNING ARE GENERALLY 10
TO 15 INCHES WITH A FEW AREAS APPROACHING 20 INCHES OVER PARTS OF
JEFFERSON...TAYLOR...AND MADISON COUNTIES.

jeepers4559 read my blog view my photos
Aug 24, 2008 | 1:08 PM

That is just some insane rain amounts! Three to five per HOUR?

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AngelaHutti

Born and raised in St. Louis, I'm living my dream of being a meteorologist. I came to Fox 2 in October 2006 after a few wonderful years doing weekend weather for KTVA CBS 11 in Anchorage, AK. Look for me weekend mornings on Fox 2 and at every Cardinals game I can possibly get to!

Member Since: 11/15/2006